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UVic research on weather goes global

Storms in the Northern Hemisphere are getting worse, and human impact on climate change is to blame, says a University of Victoria researcher whose work made headlines around the world last week.

Francis Zwiers, director of UVicB次元官网网址檚 Pacific Climate Impacts Consortium, co-authored the first study linking global warming to extreme precipitation events across North America, Europe and Asian weather stations.

Published in the Feb. 17 edition of the journal Nature, Zwiers and lead-author Seung-Ki Min conclude that acts of nature B次元官网网址 heavy rain and snow, floods and mudslides B次元官网网址 are intensifying and are doing so at a rate faster than scientists were able to project.

B次元官网网址淐limate scientists have made arguments that itB次元官网网址檚 caused B次元官网网址 as the atmosphere warms, (and is) able to hold more water vapours B次元官网网址 not necessarily more days of heavy precipitation, but the events are more extreme,B次元官网网址 Zwiers said.

The worst annual storms were tracked from 1951 through 1999. The likelihood of a rainfall event being more extreme than the previous yearB次元官网网址檚 highest precipitation increased slightly with each subsequent year.

B次元官网网址淭he average waiting time between major events is getting shorter,B次元官网网址 added Zwiers, the former head of climate research at Environment Canada.

Zwiers, an expert in applying statistical methods to climate variability and change, said our understanding of climate change is limited by the speed and consistency of data.

In Greater Victoria, an extreme event might currently translate to 75-100 millimetres in precipitation at one time B次元官网网址 numbers that suggest the need for more robust storm water handling infrastructure, from holding ponds to rain gardens, Zwiers said.

B次元官网网址淥ne thing I think we can be sure of is that these events will be stronger over time,B次元官网网址 he said.

editor@goldstreamgazette.com

 

 





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