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B.C. VIEWS: Inconvenient truths of climate change

Justin Trudeau declared climate hero for showing up, best case greenhouse gas scenario is a tiny temperature reduction by 2100
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Alberta Premier Rachel Notley

Premier Christy Clark and Environment Minister Mary Polak have joined the thousands of jet-setters in Paris to once again stage negotiations for a global climate treaty.

The embarrassing failures of these United Nations events, such as the one in Lima, Peru last year, have been forgotten. Canadian TV only showed file images of an effigy of Stephen Harper receiving a B次元官网网址渇ossil of the dayB次元官网网址 award for his alleged failure to rein in CanadaB次元官网网址檚 two per cent of human-induced greenhouse gas emissions.

Now Justin Trudeau leads our biggest-ever delegation to COP21, as the Paris meeting is called.

Trudeau hasnB次元官网网址檛 even begun to develop a plan for Canada, asking provinces to come up with their own first, but heB次元官网网址檚 already hailed as a visionary. This is similar to the newly elected Barack Obama, who modestly predicted in 2008 that history would record his win as B次元官网网址渢he moment when the rise of the oceans began to slow and our planet began to heal.B次元官网网址

Perhaps Obama wasnB次元官网网址檛 completely full of CO2, since in this century, global temperatures have increased by only about a fourth of what UN climate models predicted. This 20-year slowdown of the long run of post-Ice Age warming, which has dominated most of the last 10,000 years, is referred to as the B次元官网网址減auseB次元官网网址 or B次元官网网址渉iatus.B次元官网网址 It is usually explained away with reference to the Pacific Decadal Oscillation or other long-term warming and cooling trends in oceans.

Other countries have put new emission reduction proposals on the table for COP21. Danish environmental economist did the math, and concluded that if every major emitting country keeps its word this time, the total of all their efforts would reduce global warming by about 0.2 degrees by 2100.

What? A statistically meaningless decrease after 85 years of energy austerity? That Lomborg, heB次元官网网址檚 just a B次元官网网址渄enier,B次元官网网址 trying to get more publicity. Oh wait, hereB次元官网网址檚 a study from the that finds the same thing B次元官网网址 two tenths of a degree by 2100.

Wobbly climate models arenB次元官网网址檛 the only problem for global warming alarmists. recently confirmed that contrary to UN projections, total ice mass in Antarctica is increasing. This is much more likely to slow sea level rise than an Obama or Trudeau speech.

Arctic ice, meanwhile, is after receding in recent years. And while UN climate conferences always cause a spike in sightings of people wearing polar bear suits, hereB次元官网网址檚 another inconvenient truth.

B.C. polar bear researcher reports that the world bear population is up to 26,000, a 50-year high. That Crockford, sheB次元官网网址檚 just a denierB次元官网网址. Oh wait, the International Union for Conservation of Nature B次元官网网址淏次元官网网址 says thatB次元官网网址檚 about right, and the population trend is no longer B次元官网网址渄ecreasingB次元官网网址 but is now B次元官网网址渦nknown.B次元官网网址

None of this is to deny that our climate is warming, or that the Industrial Revolution and carbon fuel use are part of the picture. ItB次元官网网址檚 the religious zeal, misuse of data and attacks on skeptics that are troubling.

B.C. already leads the country with its small but broad-based carbon tax, about which Clark will boast at every opportunity in Paris. We wonB次元官网网址檛 see the B.C. Liberal governmentB次元官网网址檚 final B次元官网网址淐limate 2.0B次元官网网址 plan until next spring, but their advisory committee wants to start jacking up the carbon tax in 2018.

Northern and Interior B.C. folks are assured they will receive bigger rebates to reflect the fact that they pay more carbon tax to drive long distances in the cold.

And B.C.B次元官网网址檚 aggressive 2020 greenhouse gas target? The government admits weB次元官网网址檙e not going to make that, because the economy is growing.

Tom Fletcher is legislature reporter and columnist for Black Press. Email: tfletcher@blackpress.ca Twitter:

 





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