It is the question at the centre of Saanich councilB次元官网网址檚 debate on a request for an exemption from the provincial speculation tax: does Saanich have an B次元官网网址榚mpty homeB次元官网网址� problem?

First, the numbers. According to Statistics Canada, 5.6 per cent of Saanich homes (or 2,770 out of 49,422 private dwellings) are not occupied by their usual residents. The category of occupied buildings also includes private dwellings whose usual residents are temporarily absent from their residences on Census Day, May 10, 2016.

While SaanichB次元官网网址檚 share of empty homes is on par with the share across the Greater Victoria region of 5.7 per cent, figures vary within the region. Oak Bay has a figure of 4.7 per cent, Sidney 5.9 per cent and Victoria has a share of seven per cent. Langford has a total of 4.8 per cent. Notably, both Langford and Sidney have already passed motions requesting exemption.

Looking beyond Greater Victoria, but still on Vancouver Island, the share of empty homes in Nanaimo is 4.2 per cent. Equally notable is the per cent share of empty homes in communities that have already received exemptions. The larger Parksville area has a share of just over six per cent, while the Town of Qualicum Beach has a share of 7.3 per cent. Saltspring Island - like other Gulf Islands exempted from the tax B次元官网网址� has a share of 17.5 per cent, with 1,029 empty homes.

But these figures do not definitively tell whether Saanich or for that matter, the Greater Victoria region, has an empty home problem. The answer depends on a reference point. It also does not say how and whether the speculation tax will address it. More data might be needed, as the losing side of last MondayB次元官网网址檚 narrow 5-4 vote in favour of exemption argued.

Coun. Colin Plant fell into that camp when he argued in favour of a meeting with provincial staff to receive more information.

B次元官网网址淚 was ready to go off, two guns blazing against this, but I think this [meeting] is a sober step,B次元官网网址� he said. B次元官网网址淚B次元官网网址檓 willing to entertain this [exemption], once I have had the information from the ministry, that this may be the worst thing ever for Saanich. But until I have more data, IB次元官网网址檓 not going to rely on anecdotal experience. At this point, I donB次元官网网址檛 think we have enough information.B次元官网网址�

Those on the winning side of the vote acknowledged the absence of local information, but it is up to the province to make the point in favour of the tax.

Mayor Richard Atwell fell into that camp when he argued that it may take some time to collect and validate local data. B次元官网网址淵ou need to convince us, and I think this is an important piece of the conversation,B次元官网网址� he said. B次元官网网址淭he law itself is already showing some weakness and if the government truly believed in it and thought it through, they would not be considering exemptions for communities. We need to be convinced and until we are convinced, this is our position.B次元官网网址�

So what might these empty home figures mean? While VictoriaB次元官网网址檚 regional share of empty homes at 5.7 per cent is less than the share in Qualicum Beach, it nonetheless means that almost 10,000 homes remain empty in a metropolitan region (as opposed to 341 empty homes in a small community). That is almost 10,000 homes that could be rented out for at least some portions of the year, a potential luxury in the light of a tight rental market.

Critics, however, also have a point when they raise questions about implementing the speculation tax.

It requires B.C. residents to pay a tax of 0.5 per cent on second or vacation homes valued at $400,000 or above if their owners do not rent them out for at least six months of the year, for periods of at least 30 days. The provincial government exempt homes under $400,000 to ensure the tax that does not capture most cabins.

This means that homeowners can avoid the tax if they rent them out for six months. But Coun. Vicki Sanders argued that past and pending changes have made it more difficult to rent out homes.

Experts have also pointed out that the speculation tax is only part of a larger mix of policies designed to improve housing affordability and its impact on the housing market will be difficult to divorce B次元官网网址� at least in the short term B次元官网网址� from other factors.

With MondayB次元官网网址檚 vote, Saanich has nominally joined the opposition to the speculation tax. But its vote to explain its opposition to the the ministry of finance suggests a level of uncertainty, a point Coun. Dean Murdock highlighted in questioning the request.

B次元官网网址淲e have all acknowledged that there is not enough data to support [the exemption],B次元官网网址� he said. B次元官网网址淪o what are going to bring to the conversation? My preference would have been to postpone consideration of the motion to opt out until we have had an opportunity to meet with the minister to understand the data behind the request in the first place. I would be embarrassed to defend the position that council has taken without any information.B次元官网网址�

This said, comments heard Monday also suggest a larger play behind SaanichB次元官网网址檚 opt out vote.

B次元官网网址淢y understanding is that the ministry is open to feedback from municipalities on the issues around the speculation tax,B次元官网网址� said Coun. Fred Haynes. B次元官网网址淚f these are real germane issues, letB次元官网网址檚 talk to the ministry. The ministry informs us that they are open to this conversation. LetB次元官网网址檚 take up that opportunity, roll up our sleeves, and go to work for housing in Saanich.B次元官网网址�