Bank of Canada senior deputy governor Carolyn Rogers is warning interest rates might not return to the low levels people were used to before the COVID-19 pandemic.

B次元官网网址淚t may be tempting to believe the low rates that we all got used to will eventually come back. But there are reasons to think they may not,B次元官网网址� Rogers said in a speech Thursday.

According to her prepared remarks, the senior deputy governor said structural changes to the global economy, such a shift from saving to spending by baby boomers entering retirement, could lead to higher interest rates.

Higher levels of government debt and geopolitical risks such as the war between Israel and Gaza could also push rates higher, she said.

B次元官网网址淎ll this obviously involves a lot of uncertainty. But itB次元官网网址檚 not hard to see a world where interest rates are persistently higher than what people have grown used to,B次元官网网址� Rogers said.

The Bank of Canada has aggressively raised interest rates over the past year and a half, taking its key rate target from 0.25 per cent to 5.0 per cent B次元官网网址� the highest itB次元官网网址檚 been since 2001.

The hikes were aimed at bringing down inflation after a rapid run-up in prices post-pandemic.

However, economists have been speculating that rates may not return to the low levels seen pre-pandemic as the world economy undergoes structural shifts.

Canadians are already getting a taste of what itB次元官网网址檚 like to live with higher interest rates, as more people renew their mortgages at higher rates and face higher borrowing costs.

Rogers said the world is already adjusting to higher interest rates, leaving little B次元官网网址渨iggle roomB次元官网网址� for the global financial system if it were to face a shock.

She said adjusting to higher rates would be a big change for everyone from governments to businesses to households.

B次元官网网址淎djusting early and bit by bit lowers the risk of having to take more abrupt and possibly destabilizing steps later,B次元官网网址� Rogers said.

The senior deputy governor noted that data shows higher rates are forcing Canadians to curb their spending, while the pace of credit growth among households has slowed.

Businesses are also feeling pressure from rising rates as demand for their goods and services slows and debt-servicing costs rise.

Rogers warned there is more adjustment to come as previous rate hikes filter through the economy.

B次元官网网址淭he effects of higher interest rates are still working their way through the economy. WeB次元官网网址檒l need to keep a close eye on both credit stress indicators and survey data to gauge how businesses and households are adjusting,B次元官网网址� she said.

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