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Businesses want Canada to crank up trade charm as U.S. election looms

Group wants to convince Americans Canada is a boon to the U.S. economy
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U.S. President Joe Biden and Mexican President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador listen to Prime Minister Justin Trudeau speak during a joint news conference at the North American Leaders Summit, in Mexico City, Tuesday, Jan. 10, 2023. The Canadian Chamber of Commerce is calling for another NAFTA-style charm offensive to defend CanadaBԪַs trade with the U.S. ahead of NovemberBԪַs presidential election. THE CANADIAN PRESS/Adrian Wyld

The Canadian Chamber of Commerce is calling on Ottawa to conduct a charm offensive to defend CanadaBԪַs trade interests in the U.S. ahead of NovemberBԪַs presidential election.

The group represents businesses of various sizes across Canada, and says now is the time for a co-ordinated outreach campaign by the federal, provincial and municipal governments to protect cross-border trade.

That campaign would involve private businesses and aim to convince Americans that Canada is a boon to the U.S. economy, ahead of the scheduled review of the Canada-United States-Mexico Agreement in 2026.

BԪַWashington has increasingly come to see its bilateral relationship as not as strategic, but as transactional,BԪַ reads a letter dated last Friday.

BԪַIt would be a terrible mistake to think that we can wait until 2025 to ensure that CUSMA is preserved.BԪַ

The group argues that thelooming presidential election will only encourage politicians to propose more protectionist policies that would sideline Canada.

When former president Donald Trump threatened to end the NAFTA agreement that had governed U.S. trade with Canada and Mexico since 1994, Ottawa launched a widescale effort to convince Americans they benefit from free trade.

Months of intense negotiation eventually landed a new deal in 2018.

The agreement, which came into force two years later, includes a BԪַreview and term extensionBԪַ clause that establishes a 16-year life cycle and requires all three countries to sit down every six years to ensure all are still satisfied.

That clock began ticking in the summer of 2020.

If it runs out in 2026 without a consensus, that will trigger a self-destruct mechanism of sorts, ensuring the agreement BԪַ known in Canada as CUSMA BԪַ would expire 10 years later without a three-way consensus.

Adam Taylor, an international trade consultant with the firm NorthStar Public Affairs, says Canadian provinces and companies could partner with Ottawa to make a similar push, but he said itBԪַs best to quietly form a contingency plan.

BԪַPeople in the United States have given up on free trade, have given up on globalization and have begun to look very much inward. And thatBԪַs very much a problem for an outward, trade-reliant country like Canada,BԪַ Taylor said.

BԪַWe should be mindful of it. I think if we go on too strong a charm offensive too early, it could actually backfire, and weBԪַd put these issues onto the radar and insert them into the political dynamics south of the border.BԪַ

Taylor, who has advised conservative governments in Canada on trade matters, said he thinks itBԪַs likely that different levels of government with various political leanings would mount an BԪַall-hands-on-deck approachBԪַ to protect the national economy if Washington started looking at major changes to CUSMA.

But he argued that the Liberals need to do a better job highlighting the countriesBԪַ deep ties in fields such as military and intelligence, to hedge against the possibility that Americans see Canada as just any other economic partner.

President Joe Biden has launched policies that privilege American companies over foreign businesses, which Taylor said are BԪַvirtually indistinguishableBԪַ from TrumpBԪַs.

While BidenBԪַs administration hastweaked some of these measures after Canada warned of harm to trade flows, Taylor said both presidents have had Canadians businesses think about the possibility of CUSMA being eventually changed or even withdrawn.

Conservative MP Randy Hoback, the partyBԪַs associate trade critic who advises the party on U.S. relations, said Canada is already effectively undertaking such an approach, through the work of cross-partisan parliamentary visits to the U.S. and working groups involving legislators in both countries.

BԪַWhen you have a neighbour to the south that is so big and so important to our economy, you have to always, consistently be there with aggressive ideas in regard to things that we can do together, looking for solutions and heading off problems.BԪַ

He said the Liberals could do a better job of getting their MPs to sell CanadaBԪַs brand to Americans. BԪַI think theyBԪַve been a little shy and theyBԪַve been too reactive,BԪַ he said.

Hoback similarly said the business community could better collaborate with CanadaBԪַs embassy and provincial trade offices in Washington.

He said all those offices already help brief newly elected members of the U.S. Congress and Senate about the ties their regions have with Canada, including in tailored presentations by CanadaBԪַs ambassador in Washington, former trade negotiator Kirsten Hillman.

BԪַThis charm offensive, as they call it, should never stop,BԪַ said Hoback. BԪַYou have new members (of Congress) coming in all the time, who need to have that background information to understand the dynamic of the relationship.BԪַ

In its letter, the Canadian Chamber of Commerce also calls on Ottawa to have better export infrastructure such as ports and terminals for liquefied natural gas, so that Canada is able to change how it exports resources and commodities based on global demand and geopolitical shifts.

The group also wants more military spending to boost CanadaBԪַs chance of joining strategic partnerships in areas such as the Indo-Pacific.

Grantly Franklin, a spokesperson for Global Affairs Canada, said CUSMA provides for a BԪַstable and predictable trading environmentBԪַ in North America.

BԪַCanada will continue to work through advocacy and outreach to communicate the benefits of trade and CUSMA both at home and in the U.S.,BԪַ he said in an emailed statement. BԪַThis is an ongoing effort that relies on a Team Canada approach leveraging business, provincial and territorial governments, and other (partnersBԪַ) engagement with U.S. counterparts.BԪַ

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