The Canadian retail sector enjoyed a strong performance in 2024, but a report from a commercial real estate investment firm describes a mixed picture for VictoriaBԪַs retail rental market.
The CBRE Retail Rent Survey provides a brief look at retail trends in cities across Canada during the second half of 2024. The report highlighted encouraging trends for the market nationwide, with vacancy rates declining to BԪַhistorical lowsBԪַ and rental appreciation in many areas.
However, the report also noted some challenges for Victoria.
BԪַContinual urban decay in the downtown core caused by social issues, low foot traffic and rent hikes on renewal have led to increased retail turnover,BԪַ the report claims.
Among VictoriaBԪַs key retail areas outlined in the report, Government Street was the only area to see a decrease in asking rental rates, while Johnson and Fort streets did not see a significant change.
Downtown Victoria Business Association CEO Jeff Bray acknowledged issues downtown but feels the report mischaracterized the situation.
BԪַThere is no question that in some parts of downtown, street disorder issues are having a negative impact. However, we still have a relatively low retail vacancy rate compared to cities further east,BԪַ Bray said.
BԪַWe see significant investment downtown in residential and mixed-use buildings, so I would argue there is not urban decay the way it is described in the report.BԪַ
Bray suggested that an increase in remote work and the continued absence of provincial government workers downtown may be contributing to the turnover rate.
BԪַIf we had provincial government employees back in the office a minimum of three days a week like their federal counterparts, that would be a huge boost to our hospitality and retail businesses.BԪַ
Despite turnover downtown, retailers in unenclosed spaces BԪַ such as smaller malls, community shopping centres, neighbourhoods, convenience/strip locations and mixed-use areas BԪַ all saw increases in asking rental rates, according to the report. Meanwhile, regional malls, power centres and enclosed community spaces saw no significant change in asking rental rates during the second half of 2024.
The suburban retail market BԪַremained robust in the latter half of the year,BԪַ CBRE said, citing a strong pre-leasing market, low regional mall vacancies and new tenants entering the market as factors driving success in these areas. Additionally, there remains a strong demand for new commercial mixed-use developments among quick-service restaurants, medical operators, fitness groups and daycares.