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HBO looks beyond BԪַGame of Thrones,BԪַ maybe back to a prequel

The finale is May 19
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This photo released by HBO shows Kit Harington as Jon Snow, left, and Emilia Clarke as Daenerys Targaryen in a scene from BԪַGame of Thrones,BԪַ which premiered its eighth season on Sunday. (HBO via AP)

When the last drop BԪַ or gallon BԪַ of blood is shed and an exultant victor has ascended to the Iron Throne, viewers may be split over how HBOBԪַs fantasy saga ended but theyBԪַll be joined in deprivation.

BԪַWhat do you do without BԪַGame of Thrones?BԪַBԪַ will be the lament heard after the May 19 finale, said media analyst Larry Gerbrandt. The question is even more critical to the pay-cable channel, which soared on dragonBԪַs wings with its hugely popular, eight-season adaptation of George R.R. MartinBԪַs novels.

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Keeping subscribers on board means more than another hit, even one as globally dazzling as BԪַGame of ThronesBԪַ proved to be. But itBԪַs where HBO can start to protect its brand and position, observers say, an effort both demanded and compounded by an increasingly congested small-screen landscape and the expectations of the channelBԪַs corporate owner since 2016, AT&T.

BԪַI think they need a prestige show on this level to remain HBO,BԪַ Bill Carter, a media analyst for CNN and former reporter for The New York Times. But BԪַmore than ever, itBԪַs really hard to find a hit show and to break through in this marketplace.BԪַ

The channel is well into the hunt for a worthy successor, with one possibility an untitled prequel to BԪַGame of ThronesBԪַ created by Martin and Jane Goldman and starring Naomi Watts. Set to begin shooting a pilot in June, itBԪַs among several potential BԪַThronesBԪַ spinoffs being weighed, with discussions at HBO about BԪַhow many is too many,BԪַ said programming chief Casey Bloys.

BԪַWe have high hopesBԪַ for the pilot, he said. BԪַBut I want to be clear, nobody is going into this thinking that weBԪַre going to do a prequel and all of a sudden everybody who automatically watched BԪַGame of ThronesBԪַ is going to watch this. BԪַ ItBԪַll have a different feel and different rhythm. WeBԪַre not trying to do the same show again.BԪַ

That begs the question of what more HBO has to offer, he said. During a period in which BԪַGame of ThronesBԪַ was off the air for scheduling reasons, series including BԪַWestworld,BԪַ BԪַSharp ObjectsBԪַ and BԪַBarryBԪַ proved strong draws, Bloys said.

BԪַIBԪַm not going to argue that we wonBԪַt miss BԪַGame of Thrones.BԪַ ItBԪַs been a fantastic show for us, but life does go on,BԪַ he said. He points to a deep bench of returnees, including Nicole Kidman and Reese WitherspoonBԪַs BԪַBig Little Lies,BԪַ and newcomers including the graphic novel-based BԪַWatchmenBԪַ from BԪַLostBԪַ producer Damon Lindelof. One marquee series thatBԪַs also in its final season: the much-admired comedy BԪַVeep,BԪַ with Julia Louis-Dreyfus.

HBO, which launched in 1972 and whose cachet has long justified the boastful slogan, BԪַItBԪַs not TV. ItBԪַs HBO,BԪַ has reached this crossroads before. At the turn of the century, pop-culture sensations BԪַThe SopranosBԪַ and BԪַSex and the CityBԪַ boosted the channelBԪַs visibility and subscribers and made it a serious player for prestige awards BԪַ including cableBԪַs first-ever Emmys for best drama and comedy series. After the shows wrapped, the channel moved nimbly on with audience-pleasers including BԪַSix Feet UnderBԪַ and BԪַTrue Blood.BԪַ

But that was then, and this is the time of streaming BԪַ or, in shorthand, Netflix, along with a growing host of others including Amazon and Hulu BԪַ and a shoulder-bumping rush for stars and showmakers to churn out more and more fare for outlets already awash in programming.

HBO, no longer a singular alternative to staid broadcast networks, also got new corporate ownership when AT&T bought its parent company, Time Warner. HBO recently saw the exit of its chief executive, Richard Plepler, who had been with the channel for nearly 30 years and guided it to BԪַGame of ThronesBԪַ glory.

With AT&TBԪַs resources, HBO has stepped up production and will see a 50% increase in the number of original program hours this year, Bloys said, arguing that volume doesnBԪַt preclude high quality: BԪַThereBԪַs nothing in 2019 that weBԪַre putting on the air because weBԪַre trying to hit an hour count. BԪַ We havenBԪַt lowered any of our standards to reach a certain level of programmingBԪַ and there is no pressure to do otherwise from WarnerMedia CEO John Stankey, he said.

Subscribers ultimately will decide whether they think the shows are what they want. But expanding the pipeline is unavoidable, said Tuna Amobi, a media and entertainment analyst with investment firm CFRA.

BԪַItBԪַs a very different competitive landscape for HBO than it was when they launched BԪַGame of Thrones,BԪַ and they realize that. ThatBԪַs why you see them ratcheting up their investments in their programming,BԪַ Amobi said. Also key is how HBOBԪַs online platform is integrated with planned WarnerMedia streaming offerings to reach the broadest audience possible and make full use of its content, he added.

HBO BԪַcannot rely on the old ways of doing things and hope that being a premium channel will bail you out,BԪַ he said.

BԪַGame of Thrones,BԪַ which debuted in 2011, has flourished despite the confounding number of small-screen choices. From its first-season average weekly tally of 9.3 million cumulative viewers, the series rose to a seventh-season high of 32.8 million across all HBO platforms, including the channel itself and streaming services HBO Go and HBO Now and over a period extending 30 days beyond the seasonBԪַs end.

It benefited from the devoted following for MartinBԪַs BԪַA Song of Ice and FireBԪַ clutch of novels. It was richly and painstakingly produced, filmed in 10 countries including Northern Ireland, the Republic of Ireland, Morocco, Iceland and Canada. Its appealing cast became household names, and the female characters that grew in stature and strength as the drama unfolded are routinely namechecked as part of the female-empowerment zeitgeist.

BԪַGame of ThronesBԪַ could boast of its Emmy dominance as well, with 47 trophies to date including three best drama series awards. Last year, it denied a second consecutive win to a worthy opponent, HuluBԪַs BԪַThe HandmaidBԪַs Tale,BԪַ but HBO itself lost valuable Emmy bragging rights: It was surpassed in total nominations for the first time in 17 years and by relative newcomer Netflix, and the streamer tied HBO in wins.

Analyst Gerbrandt, of Media Valuation Partners, isnBԪַt counting the channel out. Many viewers still like so-called BԪַcuratedBԪַ TV delivered to them, as opposed to searching online through dozens or hundreds of offerings, he said. ThereBԪַs also the power of perception at work.

BԪַIf thereBԪַs a brand that survives strictly on name, itBԪַs probably HBO,BԪַ he said.

Lynn Elber, The Associated Press

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