The Canadian housing market saw more sales this July than any month in the past 40 years, with 30 per cent more homeowners closing on properties compared to this time last year.
The Canadian Real Estate Association said Monday that the 62,355 sales in July 2020 marked the highest monthly sales figure on record, with data going back more than 40 years.
Sales in July were up 30.5 per cent compared with the same month a year ago and up 26 per cent from June, rebounding from lows of earlier this year when the COVID-19 pandemic froze the market.
CREA Senior Economist Shaun Cathcart said there was more than one driving force behind JulyBԪַs full-tilt housing market, citing both COVID-19 and existing issues heading into 2020.
BԪַA big part of what weBԪַre seeing right now is the snap back in activity that would have otherwise happened earlier this year,BԪַ Cathcart said.
BԪַRecall that before the lockdowns, we were heading into the tightest spring market in almost 20 years.BԪַ
BԪַSome purchases will no doubt be delayed, but the new-found importance of home, lack of a daily commute for many, a desire for more outdoor and personal space, room for a home office, etc. will certainly also spur activity that otherwise would not have happened in a non-COVID-19 world.BԪַ
CREA says the actual national average price for homes sold in July was a record $571,500, up 14.3 per cent from the same month last year.
The uptick in prices was broad-based, with all 20 of the markets tracked by CREA reporting month-over-month increases in July.
The Toronto area, Guelph, Ottawa and Montreal saw the biggest price spikes, with prices climbing faster in most markets east of Saskatchewan. Prices rose more modestly in British Columbia and Alberta, CREA said.
In July, demand outpaced supply, as sales increased faster than new properties could be listed. Although new listings hit a record for the month of July, as the number of newly listed homes climbed by 7.6 per cent in July compared with June, it came amid a 26 per cent jump in sales.
Cathcart said in a statement that despite the surge in new listings hitting the market, the total number of listings that lingered on the market as inventory was at a 16-year low.
CREABԪַs statement also suggested that new supply appears to be BԪַtapering off in many parts of the country,BԪַ with the Toronto area dominating new listings. The BԪַsales-to-new listingsBԪַ ratio in July was at its highest levels since 2001-2002, at 73.9 per cent.
BԪַThere are listings that will come to the market because of COVID-19, but many properties are also not being listed right now due to the virus,BԪַ said Cathcart.
Brian DePratto, senior economist at TD Economics, said it can be hard to understand how the housing market can be so hot when the unemployment rate remains in double-digits.
BԪַThe pandemic has disproportionately impacted lower income Canadians, who are less likely to be or become homeowners,BԪַ wrote DePratto in a note to clients. BԪַBorrowing costs have fallen.BԪַ
DePratto said that the strength of the recent rebound in the housing market is BԪַdefinitely surprisingBԪַ and said there are still many factors to watch in terms of tracking the economic recovery from the pandemic.
BԪַA number of support programs, including mortgage forbearance, are helping insulate the economy from the worst impacts of the pandemic,BԪַ wrote DePratto.
BԪַAs autumn approaches, these programs will expire or change form. Depending on the progress of the broader economic recovery, this could bring significant headwinds to housing markets, particularly prices.BԪַ
The Canadian Press
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