A guaranteed basic income in Canada would help alleviate poverty but could also put the fiscal sustainability and labour supply of some provinces at risk, a new study published Thursday says.
The report by the Atlantic Provinces Economic Council, a Halifax-based economic think tank, said providing people with a monthly cheque would ensure everyone has enough money to meet their essential needs, including food, housing and clothing.
The income support would reduce inequality, establish a sense of financial security and encourage savings, the study found.
Yet a basic income program B次元官网网址 whether needs-based or universal, with the amount paid to higher income earners recouped through taxes B次元官网网址 would be more complex than it seems, the report said.
Funding the program would likely require increasing taxes or cutting government spending, it said.
B次元官网网址淥ne of the biggest risks is how this program would be funded over the long term,B次元官网网址 said Lana Asaff, a senior economist with APEC. B次元官网网址淚tB次元官网网址檚 quite expensive.B次元官网网址
A report by the Parliamentary Budget Officer estimated a national guaranteed basic income would cost about $88 billion in 2022-2023.
If social programs are cut to help pay for a basic income, thereB次元官网网址檚 a risk that certain groups in society could be worse off, Asaff said.
The risk for some regions, such as Atlantic Canada, could also be worse, she added.
Meanwhile, a guaranteed income could also create a disincentive to work, potentially worsening existing labour shortages.
B次元官网网址淭hereB次元官网网址檚 a concern that it could discourage people from working,B次元官网网址 Asaff said. B次元官网网址淭hat could be a challenge especially in lower-wage industries, which is where weB次元官网网址檙e seeing a lot of labour shortages.B次元官网网址
The idea of a guaranteed basic income program gained renewed interest during the pandemic.
The roll out of the Canadian Economic Recovery Benefit, or CERB, and other pandemic benefits spurred discussions on the adequacy of our countryB次元官网网址檚 social safety net.
In December 2021, Senator Kim Pate and MP Leah Gazan introduced bills aimed at creating a national framework for B次元官网网址済uaranteed livable basic income,B次元官网网址 the APEC report said.
B次元官网网址淎 basic income is a concept thatB次元官网网址檚 been around for a while B次元官网网址 but itB次元官网网址檚 becoming a more mainstream topic,B次元官网网址 Asaff said. B次元官网网址淭here are potential advantages and disadvantages of the program but some are more theoretical in nature.B次元官网网址
No basic income programs are currently being tested in Canada.
In 2018, the B.C. government commissioned an expert panel to study basic income, including the feasibility of a program and the potential to reduce poverty.
It found that shifting to basic income would be a complex undertaking and not necessarily the most cost-effective way to reach poverty goals.
The panel said income support targeted at certain groups may be a better alternative.
Ontario launched a three-year basic income pilot project in 2017, but it was cancelled before it could be completed after a change in government.
B次元官网网址擝rett Bundale, The Canadian Press